LaplaceTerminal

Vietnam Interbank Rate

Money & Rates · Monthly series · VNINBR

Latest, October 2026

7.6%

+0.97pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20267.6%
September 20266.6%
August 20267.1%
July 20267.3%
June 20268.0%
May 20267.5%
April 20267.1%
March 20268.4%
February 20267.3%
January 20267.2%
December 20258.4%
November 20256.5%
October 20256.2%
September 20255.5%
August 20255.6%
July 20255.0%
June 20255.2%
May 20254.5%
April 20255.4%
March 20255.5%
February 20255.5%
January 20255.3%
December 20245.7%
November 20245.5%

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 7.2%, with an 80% interval of 4.5% to 10.4%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20267.6%6.9%8.5%
December 20267.7%6.6%8.9%
January 20277.6%6.2%9.2%
February 20277.5%5.8%9.4%
March 20277.4%5.5%9.6%
April 20277.4%5.3%9.7%
May 20277.3%5.1%9.8%
June 20277.3%4.9%9.9%
July 20277.2%4.8%10.0%
August 20277.2%4.7%10.1%
September 20277.2%4.6%10.3%
October 20277.2%4.5%10.4%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Ties no-change, won 5 of 12 test years. Its errors were 1.07 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 78% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

Interbank rate steadies around 7.63% in Nov 2026, easing modestly to 7.16% by Oct 2027.

7.60% (Oct 2026) → 7.63% (Nov forecast), driven by SBV net liquidity drainage via repos and end‑month OMO.

7.63% → 7.16% (Nov 2026→Oct 2027), easing as Circular 50 raises LDR to 95% and planned SBV injections reduce funding stress.

6.63% (Sep) → 7.60% (Oct) volatility amplified by USD/VND pressure, dollar strength and occasional SBV forex sales.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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