Vietnam Foreign Exchange Reserves

Recent history

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 84.30B USD, with an 80% interval of 67.51B USD to 100.68B USD.

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-10-28.

Accuracy: Ties no-change, won 9 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.90 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 79% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

VNFER forecast to hold near $82.8bn in Sep–Oct 2026, then slowly rise to $84.30bn by Aug 2027.

Trajectory: Sep 2026 $82.77bn vs Aug $82.65bn (+$0.12bn), backed by electronics export surge led by Samsung phones/components. Trajectory: gradual rise to Aug 2027 $84.30bn (+$1.65bn), driven by record FDI and large Samsung semiconductor projects; $40.63bn registered FDI YTD. Trajectory: near-term wobble to Nov $82.48bn (-$0.18bn) as SBV flexible FX guidance and interventions respond to trade volatility, including Sep surplus.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-10-30.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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