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Vietnam 10Y Government Bond Yield

Money & Rates · Monthly series · VN10Y

Latest, November 2026

4.6%

-0.00pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
November 20264.6%
September 20264.6%
August 20264.6%
August 20264.6%
June 20264.5%
May 20264.5%
April 20264.5%
March 20264.4%
March 20264.4%
February 20264.3%
December 20254.2%
November 20254.2%
November 20254.0%
September 20254.0%
August 20253.8%
July 20253.7%
June 20253.4%
June 20253.3%
April 20253.2%
March 20253.2%
March 20253.1%
February 20253.2%
December 20243.1%
December 20243.1%

Forecast

Forecast for November 2027: 4.8%, with an 80% interval of 4.1% to 5.4%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
December 20264.6%4.4%4.6%
January 20274.6%4.4%4.7%
February 20274.6%4.4%4.8%
March 20274.6%4.3%4.9%
April 20274.7%4.3%5.0%
May 20274.7%4.3%5.1%
June 20274.7%4.2%5.1%
July 20274.7%4.2%5.2%
August 20274.8%4.2%5.2%
September 20274.8%4.1%5.3%
October 20274.8%4.1%5.4%
November 20274.8%4.1%5.4%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Ties no-change, won 5 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.99 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 79% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

VN10Y expected to rise to 4.83% by Nov 2027, up +0.25 pp from 4.58%.

4.58%→4.83% (Nov 2026→Nov 2027) reflects SBV liquidity tightening and elevated fiscal bond issuance for infrastructure.

4.55%→4.71% (Dec 2026→Jun 2027) tracks external rate spillovers from US Fed policy and slower China export demand.

4.56%→4.76% (mid-2026→Aug 2027) supported by continued electronics FDI (Samsung, Foxconn, TSMC) raising credit and bond demand.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: TVC feed via TradingView.

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