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Vietnam Inflation Rate MoM

Prices · Monthly series · VNIRMM

Latest, October 2026

0.2%

-0.42pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20260.2%
September 20260.6%
August 20260.5%
July 2026-0.1%
June 2026-0.4%
May 20260.3%
April 20260.8%
March 20261.2%
February 20261.1%
January 20260.1%
December 20250.2%
November 20250.5%
October 20250.2%
September 20250.4%
August 20250.1%
July 20250.1%
June 20250.5%
May 20250.2%
April 20250.1%
March 2025-0.0%
February 20250.3%
January 20251.0%
December 20240.3%
November 20240.1%

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 0.4%, with an 80% interval of -0.0% to 0.9%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20260.3%-0.1%0.6%
December 20260.3%-0.1%0.7%
January 20270.4%-0.0%1.0%
February 20270.6%0.0%1.5%
March 20270.2%-0.2%0.8%
April 20270.3%-0.1%0.8%
May 20270.3%-0.1%0.9%
June 20270.3%-0.1%0.9%
July 20270.4%-0.1%0.9%
August 20270.4%-0.0%0.9%
September 20270.4%-0.0%1.0%
October 20270.4%-0.0%0.9%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Ties no-change, won 8 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.92 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 81% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

MoM inflation set to accelerate to +0.65% in Feb 2027 from +0.20% in Oct 2026.

+0.20% (Oct 2026) to +0.26% (Dec 2026), driven by EVN retail electricity price adjustment effective 1 Nov 2026 (Decision No.1305).

+0.26% (Dec 2026) to +0.65% (Feb 2027), boosted by petrol price rises and transport-cost pass-through.

+0.65% (Feb 2027) then averaging ~+0.36% through Oct 2027, supported by strong FDI-led electronics exports sustaining domestic demand.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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