LaplaceTerminal

Vietnam CPI / Inflation Rate YoY YTD

Prices · Monthly series · VNIRYY

Latest, October 2026

4.6%

+0.06pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 20264.6%
September 20264.5%
August 20264.5%
July 20264.4%
June 20264.4%
May 20264.3%
April 20264.0%
March 20263.5%
February 20262.9%
January 20262.5%
December 20253.3%
November 20253.3%
October 20253.3%
September 20253.3%
August 20253.3%
July 20253.3%
June 20253.3%
May 20253.2%
April 20253.2%
March 20253.2%
February 20253.3%
January 20253.6%
December 20243.6%
November 20243.7%

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 4.4%, with an 80% interval of 1.8% to 7.5%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 20264.7%4.2%5.1%
December 20264.6%3.7%5.6%
January 20274.2%2.5%5.8%
February 20274.2%1.9%6.4%
March 20274.2%1.8%6.7%
April 20274.3%1.7%6.8%
May 20274.3%1.7%6.9%
June 20274.3%1.8%7.1%
July 20274.3%1.7%7.2%
August 20274.4%1.7%7.3%
September 20274.4%1.8%7.3%
October 20274.4%1.8%7.5%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Beats no-change, won 9 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.86 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 80% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

CPI YoY YTD to rise to 4.65% in Nov 2026, then ease to 4.24% by Jan 2027.

Trajectory: 4.32% (May) → 4.58% (Oct), forecast 4.65% (Nov), driven by fuel-price pass-through and tuition fee hikes.

Trajectory: 4.62% (Dec forecast) → 4.24% (Jan), reflects SBV guidance to cut bank rates to support growth.

Trajectory: 4.24% (Jan) → 4.41% (Oct 2027), sustained by FDI-led electronics exports (Samsung, Foxconn) and import-driven input costs.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

More from Laplace Terminal

Also in Prices