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Vietnam Imports YoY YTD

Trade & External · Monthly series · VNIMP

Latest, October 2026

37.1%

+0.99pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202637.1%
September 202636.1%
August 202634.7%
July 202634.2%
June 202632.7%
May 202630.0%
April 202629.0%
March 202626.6%
February 202625.9%
January 202649.2%
December 202519.8%
November 202518.9%
October 202519.3%
September 202519.5%
August 202518.7%
July 202518.9%
June 202519.1%
May 202518.8%
April 202518.7%
March 202517.2%
February 202515.9%
January 2025-2.5%
December 202416.1%
November 202415.8%

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 20.3%, with an 80% interval of -54.8% to 77.7%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202636.3%25.3%45.2%
December 202634.3%13.5%48.3%
January 202728.9%-12.4%50.4%
February 202727.9%-21.1%54.4%
March 202726.0%-36.4%57.1%
April 202725.2%-35.9%58.4%
May 202723.8%-44.0%59.6%
June 202723.0%-49.9%60.8%
July 202722.1%-49.4%63.2%
August 202721.5%-51.7%65.9%
September 202720.7%-53.2%72.5%
October 202720.3%-54.8%77.7%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Beats no-change, won 6 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.84 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 78% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

Imports YoY YTD to slow to 20.27% by Oct 2027 from 37.09% in Oct 2026.

From 37.09% to 20.27% forecast, reflecting normalization after FDI-driven inventory rebuilds and weaker global electronics orders.

Near-term: 36.33% Nov 2026 versus 37.09% Oct 2026, driven by FDI firms' component and production-input imports.

Forecast uncertainty: Oct 2027 80% CI [-25.56,55.32], vulnerable to SBV liquidity decisions and fiscal/support policy shifts.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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