LaplaceVietnam Balance of Trade
Trade & External · Monthly series · VNBOT
Latest, October 2026
7.31B USD
+6.04B USD from September 2026
Recent history
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 7.31B USD |
| September 2026 | 1.27B USD |
| August 2026 | -110.0M USD |
| July 2026 | -3.59B USD |
| June 2026 | -2.64B USD |
| May 2026 | -5.21B USD |
| April 2026 | -3.99B USD |
| March 2026 | -670.0M USD |
| February 2026 | -1.01B USD |
| January 2026 | -1.78B USD |
| December 2025 | -640.0M USD |
| November 2025 | 1.23B USD |
| October 2025 | 2.60B USD |
| September 2025 | 2.85B USD |
| August 2025 | 3.72B USD |
| July 2025 | 2.29B USD |
| June 2025 | 2.86B USD |
| May 2025 | 560.0M USD |
| April 2025 | 580.0M USD |
| March 2025 | 1.63B USD |
| February 2025 | -1.55B USD |
| January 2025 | 3.02B USD |
| December 2024 | 520.0M USD |
| November 2024 | 1.06B USD |
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 2.91B USD, with an 80% interval of -1.33B USD to 6.76B USD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 3.28B USD | -316.8M USD | 6.03B USD |
| December 2026 | 2.41B USD | -1.37B USD | 5.71B USD |
| January 2027 | 2.92B USD | -1.27B USD | 6.65B USD |
| February 2027 | 1.61B USD | -2.37B USD | 5.58B USD |
| March 2027 | 2.31B USD | -1.85B USD | 6.15B USD |
| April 2027 | 1.50B USD | -2.48B USD | 5.44B USD |
| May 2027 | 829.1M USD | -3.15B USD | 4.41B USD |
| June 2027 | 2.02B USD | -1.88B USD | 6.13B USD |
| July 2027 | 1.83B USD | -2.03B USD | 5.71B USD |
| August 2027 | 3.28B USD | -1.10B USD | 7.44B USD |
| September 2027 | 2.64B USD | -1.37B USD | 6.65B USD |
| October 2027 | 2.91B USD | -1.33B USD | 6.76B USD |
Accuracy: Beats no-change, won 9 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.86 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 81% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.
Commentary
VNBOT forecast at +3.28bn in Nov 2026, sustaining the recent shift into a trade surplus.
Trajectory: forecast +3.28bn (Nov) and +2.41bn (Dec) versus mid-2026 deficits -5.21bn (May) and -2.64bn (Jun); electronics exports surged.
Trajectory: positive balances persist into 2027 (Jan +2.92bn), backed by record manufacturing FDI and supply‑chain relocation to Vietnam.
Trajectory: wide forecast CIs reflect heavy imported inputs for electronics and recent 2025 Investment Law reforms easing FDI procedures.
Source
Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.
More from Laplace Terminal
- Dashboard: every indicator with charts and forecasts
- All indicators