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Vietnam FDI YoY YTD

Capital & Markets · Monthly series · VNFDI

Latest, October 2026

13.1%

+0.98pp from September 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202613.1%
September 202612.1%
August 202612.3%
July 202611.8%
June 202611.2%
May 20269.6%
April 20269.8%
March 20269.1%
February 20268.8%
January 202611.3%
December 20259.0%
November 20258.9%
October 20258.8%
September 20258.7%
August 20258.8%
July 20258.4%
June 20258.1%
May 20257.9%
April 20257.3%
March 20257.8%
February 20255.4%
January 20252.0%
December 20249.4%
November 20247.1%

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 9.8%, with an 80% interval of 3.8% to 16.2%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202612.5%10.3%14.5%
December 202612.1%9.6%14.9%
January 202711.8%8.6%14.8%
February 202711.5%7.9%14.9%
March 202711.2%7.4%15.0%
April 202711.0%7.1%15.1%
May 202710.8%6.4%15.2%
June 202710.6%5.9%15.3%
July 202710.4%5.5%15.3%
August 202710.2%5.2%15.7%
September 202710.0%4.3%16.2%
October 20279.8%3.8%16.2%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

Accuracy: Beats no-change, won 8 of 12 test years. Its errors were 0.83 times those of a no-change forecast (MASE). The 80% band held 78% of outcomes. No-change is a forecast that keeps the latest value.

Commentary

FDI YoY YTD to slow to 9.80% by Oct 2027, down from 13.05% in Oct 2026.

Trajectory: 13.05% (Oct 2026) → 9.80% (Oct 2027), as large-scale approvals ease after October peak; HCMC approved $13.58bn projects.

Trajectory: 11.78% (Jan 2027) → 10.56% (Jun 2027), driven by supply-chain diversification and tech FDI like hyperscale data centres and Samsung projects.

Trajectory: 12.47% (Nov 2026) → 11.00% (Apr 2027), supported long-term by land-clearing resolution freeing 86,600ha and VND 1.76 quadrillion.

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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